Week Three: Group Activity - Are We in Trouble?

Learning Activities

In the first two activities, you demonstrated your abilities to collect data, determine the descriptive statistics for that data (assuming a normal distribution), and analyzed the measurement system to determine possible measurement errors.

This activity focuses on linking the analysis skills learned in the first two activities to the questions, "Does our product meet our customer requirements?" and "What % of our product will fall outside of the specified requirements?"

You will be asked to work the exercise:

Setting a Light Bulb Warranty Period

Are we meeting our customer's requirements? What % are out of tolerance?

The web site that provides instruction about the standard normal distribution and the standard tables. In addition, the web site provides two MS Excel worksheets, one that calculates the normal probabilities from the average, standard deviation, and specifications and the second table provides the cumulative normal distribution from 0 to 5.09 z's

Link to Carillon Technologies Site - Standard Normal Distribution

Review the standard normal tables in the reference materials, the Quality Toolkit and in AIAG's Statistical Process Control pages 5 - 18.

Setting the Light Bulb Warranty Period

From the NCE/AME Statistical Distribution Module

"A warranty period is the period of time that a manufacturer guarantees that the product will meet the requirements of the customer. Any problems occuring during this period will be resolved at the manufacturer's expense."

The company wishes to set a warranty period for a 7 volt AC lamp bulb.

1. Given the following data construct a histogram, and perform a statistical analysis of the data.

Hours to Burn Out

 Number of Bulbs
80 -120  1
120 - 160  4
160 - 200  25
200 - 240   4
240 - 280  1

2. Using the mean and standard deviation of the light bulb data that you calculated, predict the number of hours until a light bulb will burn out given that we want a warranty period when a maximum of 1%, 2.5% or 5% of the bulbs will burn out.

3. If a light bulb sells for $0.40 and it costs $0.05 to produce, which warranty period would you choose, given that marketing states at a high quality warranty can at best effect up to a 10% increase in selling price.

Assessment

Warranty Problem: Post your answers, to questions 1-3, to the discussion board with the appropriate excel or word file attached. Be prepared to discuss your results.